Liberty Flames Expected to Dominate At Home Against Middle Tennessee
Liberty Flames vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · Flames ML (-1661)
3:30 PM
Our Analysis
Our model assigns a 91 percent confidence rating to Liberty on the moneyline, reflecting a substantial edge for the Flames in this Week 11 matchup. Liberty enters the game with a 7-1 record and has been particularly impressive when playing at Williams Stadium. Their home dominance is highlighted by a convincing 49-10 win over Florida International just two weeks ago, showcasing both offensive firepower and defensive stability.
In contrast, Middle Tennessee comes in at 3-4 with a track record that lacks consistency, especially in challenging road environments. They have struggled to keep up against stronger competition and have yet to find form away from their own turf. The difference in momentum and execution between these two teams is clear.
Given Liberty’s undefeated home record and recent blowout victories, the high model confidence is entirely justified. The Flames’ balanced attack and proven track record at Williams Stadium make them a top pick on the moneyline. At -1661, the odds reflect their massive advantage, and all major signals point to Liberty extending their winning run at home with little resistance.
Result
The Liberty Flames defeated the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28-23. The bet on Flames Moneyline (-1661) won, as they secured a victory with a computed margin of 5.