Schlittler vs. Severino: Yankees Have the Clear Edge Tonight

Tonight's best play centers on one of the cleanest pitching mismatches on the board: Cam Schlittler vs. Luis Severino at Yankee Stadium.

Schlittler has been quietly elite to open 2026. Through 11.2 innings, he has a 0.00 ERA, 15 strikeouts, and zero walks. He hasn't allowed a run yet this season. On the other side, Severino is sitting at a 6.48 ERA through 8.1 innings for Oakland, having surrendered 6 earned runs already. This is his return to Yankee Stadium, but sentiment does not override performance.

The Yankees are also 7-2 ATS on the season, consistently executing on both sides of the ball. The run line at -130 gives you better value than the moneyline at -165, and when everything points in the same direction, the run line is the right entry point.

Our model has this at 73% confidence, the highest-rated play on today's slate.