Mirra Andreeva Set to Dominate Bouzkova with -5.5 Game Spread Value
Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkova · Andreeva -5.5 (-130)
7:30 AM
Our Analysis
Mirra Andreeva’s -5.5 game spread at -130 stands out given her recent form and commanding clay court results. She has cleared this handicap in both of her French Open matches so far, notching a comfortable win over Fiona Ferro and a strong comeback against Marina Bassols Ribera. Her winning margins of +6 and +7 games in Paris are precisely what this line demands, and they reflect her consistent ability to run away with sets once she gains momentum.
Andreeva’s strength on clay has been elite—she owns a 71–19 career record on the surface and a 15–3 mark this season. The matchup edge is pronounced, as she leads Marie Bouzkova 4–0 in their career head-to-head without dropping a set, including a clay win earlier this year. In contrast, Bouzkova’s clay historical win rate sits near 55 percent, underscoring a persistent gap in surface aptitude between the players.
The data-driven edge is further reinforced by recent form trends, with Andreeva winning 8 of her last 10 matches compared to Bouzkova’s 6 of 10. Expert previews have flagged Andreeva as a legitimate Roland Garros contender, framing this as a scenario where a routine win in the 6-3 6-2 range or better is highly realistic. Our model’s 90 percent confidence signals that coverage of the -5.5 spread should be expected.
Result
Mirra Andreeva defeated Marie Bouzkova with a final score of 6-4, 6-2. The bet on Andreeva -5.5 was successful as the margin of victory was 6 games across all sets.